Interesting article on ‘mathematics of cities’ in NY Times

May 20th, 2009

“After being stuck for a long time, the mathematics of cities has suddenly begun to take off again. Around 2006, scientists started discovering new mathematical laws about cities that are nearly as stunning as Zipf’s. But instead of focusing on the sizes of cities themselves, the new questions have to do with how city size affects other things we care about, like the amount of infrastructure needed to keep a city going.

For instance, if one city is 10 times as populous as another one, does it need 10 times as many gas stations? No. Bigger cities have more gas stations than smaller ones (of course), but not nearly in direct proportion to their size. The number of gas stations grows only in proportion to the 0.77 power of population. The crucial thing is that 0.77 is less than 1. This implies that the bigger a city is, the fewer gas stations it has per person. Put simply, bigger cities enjoy economies of scale. In this sense, bigger is greener.

The same pattern holds for other measures of infrastructure. Whether you measure miles of roadway or length of electrical cables, you find that all of these also decrease, per person, as city size increases. And all show an exponent between 0.7 and 0.9.

Now comes the spooky part. The same law is true for living things. That is, if you mentally replace cities by organisms and city size by body weight, the mathematical pattern remains the same.”

Read complete article

3 responses

  1. dustbury.com » Things I learned today (29) pings back:

    [...] Ten times the population? You’ll need only 7.7 times as many gas stations. [...]

  2. Deborah comments:

    obviously Zipf is behind it all.
    but what has happened to Fermat? i feel like x^n+y^n=z^n has some relevence for examining growth patterns.

  3. Blair comments:

    Deborah – After a quick trip to wikipedia, I must say I quite agree. Thanks for stopping by and gracing my humble blog with your presence.

    -b

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